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Sudan

Spurning talks, Burhan returns to a wrecked palace and capital

SUDAN: BURHAN'S ARMY IS BACK IN THE PALACE After retaking the capital, the SAF has a long march west to unify the country. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
SUDAN: BURHAN'S ARMY IS BACK IN THE PALACE After retaking the capital, the SAF has a long march west to unify the country. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

The radical nationalists and Islamists helping the army defeat the Rapid Support Forces in Khartoum will haunt the new regime

On 15 April 2025, General Abdel Fattah al Burhan will commemorate two years of war against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) from the presidential palace in Khartoum. As remnants of RSF fighters either flee the city through Jebel Awliya or fight to the death, they remain encircled by Burhan’s Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and its allied militias.

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Policy U-turns deepen confusion over gold-backed currency

ZIMBABWE: Growth rebounding, but new currency struggling. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
ZIMBABWE: Growth rebounding, but new currency struggling. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Officials say growth may rebound to 6% up from 2% but the prospects are hampered by inflation, low revenues and tight reserves

Adding to the mixed messages over who is setting economic, monetary and security policy, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) John Mushayavanhu announced on 11...


War vets lead charge against Mnangagwa

Blessed Geza
Blessed Geza

The national stayaway exposes the growing schism in the ruling ZANU-PF as the President tries to extend his rule

The 31 March protest – in the form of sporadic demonstrations across the country and a national stayaway – unleashed a fresh wave of anger against President Emmerson...


Tinubu bets the farm on Rivers State

Vice Admiral Ibok-Ete Ekwe Ibas (rtd) takes oath of office before President Bola Tinubu, State House, Abuja, March 2025. Pic: @NGRPresident
Vice Admiral Ibok-Ete Ekwe Ibas (rtd) takes oath of office before President Bola Tinubu, State House, Abuja, March 2025. Pic: @NGRPresident

Determined to control the state’s politics and oil before the 2027 elections, the President has suspended an opposition governor

In the latest twist in the power struggle to control Rivers State, the two leading protagonists – Governor Siminilayi Fubara and his predecessor Nyesom Wike – both appear...


After the fight, Frelimo runs out of ideas

Venâncio Mondlane meets Daniel Chapo, Maputo, March 2025. Pic: aimnews.org
Venâncio Mondlane meets Daniel Chapo, Maputo, March 2025. Pic: aimnews.org

President Daniel Chapo and challenger Venâncio Mondlane sign an accord but have no political plan in sight

By releasing 4,800 political prisoners and calling off the riot police, Frelimo has admitted defeat, but it can’t negotiate a national unity government. After six months of post-electoral...


Pretoria picks new envoy for the MAGA minefield

Leo Brent Bozell III. Pic: Gage Skidmore CC BY-SA 2.0
Leo Brent Bozell III. Pic: Gage Skidmore CC BY-SA 2.0

President Ramaphosa wants to soothe tensions with the Trump administration but Washington has appointed a hard-liner to South Africa

The choice of the United States’s new Ambassador to Pretoria – Leo Brent Bozell III – dispels any notion that President Donald J Trump’s administration might dial down...


Populist Agyapong loses $18 million in defamation battle

Anas Aremeyaw Anas. Pic: @anasglobal
Anas Aremeyaw Anas. Pic: @anasglobal

Investigative journalist Anas chalks up an historic win in New Jersey court against New Patriotic Party presidential contender

A United States court has awarded Ghanaian investigative journalist Anas Aremeyaw Anas US$18 million in damages, including $8m in punitive damages, after ruling that populist former New Patriotic...


Mahama’s plans clash with IMF strictures

GHANA: Government targets primary surplus as borrowing costs fall. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
GHANA: Government targets primary surplus as borrowing costs fall. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

After winding up the tortuous debt deal in June, the government will be hemmed in by creditors and multilateral banks

The end of Accra’s debt default tunnel is nigh. After signing a memorandum of understanding with the official creditor committee, Ghana is forecast to end the restructuring of...


The Hague doubts that Bio’s government will arrest cocaine kingpin

Alusine Kanneh. Pic: @ChiefImigration
Alusine Kanneh. Pic: @ChiefImigration

The Chief Immigration Officer was sacked for his links to Jos Leijdekkers but some diplomats believe the convicted drug smuggler is still being protected in Sierra Leone

Alusine Kanneh, Sierra Leone’s Chief Immigration Officer, has been dismissed as questions about his relationship with notorious cocaine smuggler Jos Leijdekkers have mounted and evidence of past dishonesty...


Oligui in, Yama excluded

Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema. Pic: @oliguinguema
Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema. Pic: @oliguinguema

With trade unionist Jean-Rémy Yama disqualified from the 12 April first presidential ballot due to his inability to produce his father’s birth certificate, defeat for Brice Clotaire Oligui...


Salva sidelines Riek

Riek Machar Teny Dhurgon. Pic: @Drriekmachar

Chaos surrounds the fate of South Sudan’s First Vice-President Riek Machar Teny Dhurgon, whose arrest threatens to reignite war. On 26 March, his Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-in-Opposition (SPLM-IO)...


Kigali and the M23 militia clear a path for regime change

M23 militia and the Rwanda Defence Force assess next target after Walikale. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
M23 militia and the Rwanda Defence Force assess next target after Walikale. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

The collapse of negotiations offers some stark choices as President Tshisekedi’s position weakens further

A week of diplomatic spats and foiled negotiations has handed more political weight to the M23 militia and its Rwandan backers to add to their string of victories...

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Tigray’s political fight sounds alarm

ETHIOPIA-ERITREA:: Asmara and Addis Ababa back rival factions in Tigray fight. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
ETHIOPIA-ERITREA:: Asmara and Addis Ababa back rival factions in Tigray fight. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Unresolved border disputes with Asmara and internal divisions in Ethiopia are driving the region to the brink


Can Forson’s budget reset the economy?

GHANA: GOVERNMENT TARGETS PRIMARY SURPLUS AS BORROWING COSTS FALL. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
GHANA: GOVERNMENT TARGETS PRIMARY SURPLUS AS BORROWING COSTS FALL. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

After promising to strengthen public finances, the new government is making difficult trade-offs on tax and borrowing


Security tops the Ecowas agenda

THE SAHEL AND ECOWAS: Regional leaders negotiate with the Association des Etats du Sahel
THE SAHEL AND ECOWAS: Regional leaders negotiate with the Association des Etats du Sahel

Above all, civilian governments in the regional bloc want cooperation with the military leaders against jihadist insurgents


Battle rages around the capital

SOMALIA: Foreign backers help Hassan Sheikh repel Al Shabaab offensive on Middle Shabelle. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
SOMALIA: Foreign backers help Hassan Sheikh repel Al Shabaab offensive on Middle Shabelle. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Al Shabaab’s massive offensive in February may have failed, but the news isn’t uniformly positive for Mogadishu