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Putschists’ lethal attacks in Cotonou test Ecowas solidarity

Patrice Talon
Patrice Talon

Military help led by Nigeria and allies reinforced the regional bloc’s stand against the anti-Talon plotters

It is now clear that the thwarted coup in Cotonou was much more violent than first reported and determinedly targeted Benin’s President Patrice Talon and the most senior military officers. The rebels attacked Talon’s residence in Cotonou’s Guézo neighbourhood but also the homes of General Bertin Bada – the head of Talon’s military staff and key figure in the campaign against jihadist militant incursions in the north – and army chief of staff Gen Abou Issa and Colonel Faizou Gomina; the latter two were taken hostage.


Deepening security crisis threatens Tinubu’s re-election plans

Nuhu Ribadu meets Pete Hegseth. Pic: @SecWar
Nuhu Ribadu meets Pete Hegseth. Pic: @SecWar

Presidential allies blame political agendas and sabotage within the military for failure to protect citizens

In early November, officers in the Department of State Services received intelligence about a planned abduction at Government Girls’ Comprehensive Secondary School (GGCSS) in Maga, Kebbi State. They...


First the good news – then reality bites

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
Pic: @PresidencyZA

A ratings upgrade and stronger fiscal projections boost optimism, but job cuts and slow investment still haunt the ANC

Political sentiment in South Africa is among the most febrile on the continent – if that is any comfort to President Cyril Ramaphosa. After the G20 Leaders’ Summit...


Coup d’état or coup de théâtre?

Pic: @USEmbalo
Pic: @USEmbalo

The military has overthrown the president but his allies remain in place – prompting some regional leaders to suspect skulduggery on all sides

Three of the pillars of President Umaro Sissoco Embaló’s regime threw him out of office on 26 November, just a day before the results of a general election...


Faye and Sonko agree an uneasy truce

Ousmane Sonko and Bassirou Diomaye Faye. Pic: @PR_Diomaye
Ousmane Sonko and Bassirou Diomaye Faye. Pic: @PR_Diomaye

Debt pressures, IMF talks and partisan rivalries expose the fragility of a leadership once seen as unbreakable

After a public rift that shook their political brotherhood and threatened crucial negotiations with the IMF, President Bassirou Diomaye Faye and Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko have stepped back...


Ruto holds the parties together

William Ruto. Pic: @WilliamsRuto
William Ruto. Pic: @WilliamsRuto

The president’s party and its allies won most of the seats on ‘Super Thursday’ – yet numbers show a coalition fraying at the edges

President William Ruto and his semi-official allies in the late Raila Odinga’s Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) enjoyed a bumper by-election day on 27 November, winning 16 of the...


Who is guarding the guards?

Kissi Agyebeng. Pic: osp.gov.gh
Kissi Agyebeng. Pic: osp.gov.gh

Activists are trying to push out the chair of the Electoral Commission and the Special Prosecutor as frustration grows with the government’s anti-corruption plan

The better news about the economy hasn’t translated into quieter politics as President John Dramani Mahama’s government and the ruling National Democratic Congress face growing pressure on corruption,...


Gold boom and tighter budgets keep Mahama’s economy on the road

Cassiel Ato Forson. Pic: @Cassielforson
Cassiel Ato Forson. Pic: @Cassielforson

The 2026 plan cuts the deficit again, using savings from lower debt-service to pay for higher social spending, winning market plaudits

Ghana’s economy is on the mend. Finance Minister Cassiel Ato Forson set out the 2026 budget on 13 November claiming to have stabilised macroeconomic conditions. Treasury data showed...


Funding woes dog anti-Islamic State war as Washington joins in

INSURGENCY IN SOMALIA: Africom joins the fight against Islamic State. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
INSURGENCY IN SOMALIA: Africom joins the fight against Islamic State. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Puntland’s war on Da’ish drags on and piracy revives as President Said Deni prioritises electioneering above paying for troops

Puntland’s bitter campaign against Islamic State (IS or Da’ish), backed by United States special forces, shows no sign of let-up despite 11 months of fighting and the capture...


Hassan faces foreign anger and braces for more unrest

Samia Suluhu Hassan. Pic: @SuluhuSamia
Samia Suluhu Hassan. Pic: @SuluhuSamia

The government risks losing aid funds and billions in investment in reaction to the election violence as it prepares for Independence Day protests

As the scale of bloodshed during the 29 October general election hits home, President Samia Suluhu Hassan’s government has triggered the country’s deepest crisis for decades, threatening the...


Hassan Sheikh takes poll position

Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Pic: @HassanSMohamud
Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Pic: @HassanSMohamud

The President hopes he can remain in power by winning a ‘one person one vote’ election next year, or get his term extended if delays persist

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has strengthened his position in the run-up to the presidential election next year by skilfully dividing the opposition. He is sticking with his call...


Auditor challenges president

Modou Ceesay. Pic: nao.gm
Modou Ceesay. Pic: nao.gm

The Supreme Court in Banjul is expected to hear in one to two weeks’ time the plea of the sacked Auditor-General Modou Ceesay that he was illegally removed...


No more logo

Pic: paulkagame
Pic: paulkagame

The days of London’s biggest football club, Arsenal, proclaiming ‘Visit Rwanda’ on its players’ sleeves are over after the club confirmed that its eight-year sponsorship deal with Rwanda’s...


The fight for the Red Sea escalates

THE FIGHT FOR THE RED SEA: Ethiopia's maritime ambitions clash with Eritrea's hard-fought sovereignty. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
THE FIGHT FOR THE RED SEA: Ethiopia's maritime ambitions clash with Eritrea's hard-fought sovereignty. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Commercial interests, naval ambitions and shifting alliances are raising the risk of war – as regional states pick sides


Biya sworn in as resistance ebbs

Paul Biya. Pic: @presidentpaulbiya
Paul Biya. Pic: @presidentpaulbiya

With Tchiroma in exile and state repression in full flow the pendulum has swung back to the state as oppositionists ponder resignation or armed struggle


Abu Dhabi pressures Mahamat Kaka

Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno receives quadripartite delegation on Sudan crisis, Rome, October 2025. Pic: mahamatidrissdeby.td
Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno receives quadripartite delegation on Sudan crisis, Rome, October 2025. Pic: mahamatidrissdeby.td

The RSF’s seizure of El Fasher exposed the fragility of the Ndjamena regime and its dependence on United Arab Emirates funding


Museveni looks to an oil boost

Uganda: Exports and growth rise. Debt and deficit worsen. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
Uganda: Exports and growth rise. Debt and deficit worsen. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Growth and exports climb ahead of national elections, as the government pins its hopes on extractive revenues


Spinning out of control

Salva Kiir Mayardit, November 2025. Pic: Office of the President – Republic of South Sudan
Salva Kiir Mayardit, November 2025. Pic: Office of the President – Republic of South Sudan

The dismissal of Salva Kiir’s closest ally in a chaotic reshuffle has left him looking increasingly isolated


Ramokgopa takes a two trillion rand gamble on gas

SOUTH AFRICA'S GAS FIELDS: Facing legal, political and environmental battles. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
SOUTH AFRICA'S GAS FIELDS: Facing legal, political and environmental battles. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Legal setbacks, stalled offshore projects and a looming supply crisis threaten both industry and climate targets